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Campo DC | Valor | Lengua/Idioma |
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dc.contributor.author | Corral, Álvaro | - |
dc.contributor.author | Minjares, Mónica | - |
dc.contributor.author | Barreiro, Marcelo | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-01-24T17:36:07Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2024-01-24T17:36:07Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2023 | - |
dc.identifier.citation | Corral, Á, Minjares, M y Barreiro, M. "Increased extinction probability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation after about 27 days". [Preprint]. Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics. 2023 arXiv:2304.12863, apr 2023. 37 h. DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2304.12863 | es |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/42240 | - |
dc.description | Publicado también en: Physical Review E, 2023, 108(5): 054214. DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.108.054214 | es |
dc.description.abstract | The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is a tropical weather system having important influence in the tropics and beyond; however, many of its characteristics are poorly understood, including their initiation and completion. Here we define Madden-Julian events as the contiguous time periods with an active MJO, and we show that both the durations and the sizes of these events are well described by a double power-law distribution. Thus, small events have no characteristic scale, and the same for large events; nevertheless, both types of events are separated by a characteristic duration of about 27 days (this corresponds to half a cycle, roughly). Thus, after 27 days, there is a sharp increase in the probability that an event gets extinct. We find that this effect is independent of the starting and ending phases of the events, which seems to point to an internal mechanism of exhaustion rather than to the effect of an external barrier. Our results would imply an important limitation of the MJO as a driver of sub-seasonal predictability. | es |
dc.format.extent | 37 h. | es |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | es |
dc.language.iso | en | es |
dc.relation.ispartof | Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, arXiv:2304.12863, apr 2023. | es |
dc.rights | Las obras depositadas en el Repositorio se rigen por la Ordenanza de los Derechos de la Propiedad Intelectual de la Universidad de la República.(Res. Nº 91 de C.D.C. de 8/III/1994 – D.O. 7/IV/1994) y por la Ordenanza del Repositorio Abierto de la Universidad de la República (Res. Nº 16 de C.D.C. de 07/10/2014) | es |
dc.subject | Madden-Julian oscillation | es |
dc.title | Increased extinction probability of the Madden-Julian Oscillation after about 27 days. | es |
dc.type | Preprint | es |
dc.contributor.filiacion | Corral Álvaro | - |
dc.contributor.filiacion | Minjares Mónica | - |
dc.contributor.filiacion | Barreiro Marcelo, Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias. Instituto de Física. | - |
dc.rights.licence | Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0) | es |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.48550/arXiv.2304.12863 | - |
Aparece en las colecciones: | Publicaciones académicas y científicas - Facultad de Ciencias |
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10.1103.PhysRevE.108.054214.pdf | 790,84 kB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |
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