Título:
Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary
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Autor:
Nagy Breitenstein, Gustavo J
Verocai Masena, José Eduardo
Capurro Leites, Leandro Fabián
Gómez-Erache, Mónica
Gutiérrez de Marañón, María Ofelia
Panario, Daniel
Brugnoli, Ernesto
Brum García, Agustina
Bidegain Dorelo, Mario
Verocai Masena, José Eduardo
Capurro Leites, Leandro Fabián
Gómez-Erache, Mónica
Gutiérrez de Marañón, María Ofelia
Panario, Daniel
Brugnoli, Ernesto
Brum García, Agustina
Bidegain Dorelo, Mario
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ENSO
Sea-level rise
Extreme sea levels
River inflow
Wind maxima
Climate impacts
Beach erosion
Harmful blooms
Monte carlo simulation
Sea-level rise
Extreme sea levels
River inflow
Wind maxima
Climate impacts
Beach erosion
Harmful blooms
Monte carlo simulation
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Año de publicación:
2023
Contenido:
Resumen:
The Uruguayan coast of the Río de la Plata river estuary (RdlP) is 300 km long. It encompasses an inner tidal river and a middle and an outer estuary. The RdlP is a micro-tidal system dominated by river inflow from the Paraná and Uruguay rivers and southern winds with increasingly frequent wind-induced storm surges impacting
the coast. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation influences the river inflow, prevailing winds, water/sea level and beach erosion. First, we focus on the IPCC Reasons for Concern (RFC) about the trends of climate risks threatening the Uruguayan coast. The trends and maxima of air temperature, water/sea levels and river inflow in three coastal stations from 1980 to 2019 show temporal changes attributable to climate change and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The occurrence, evolution and Montecarlo simulations of return periods of the yearly river flow and sea level height maxima provide metrics of RFC to categorise the climate risks from past to projected
future and the level of risk from undetectable to very high. Then, we summarise some current and expected climate risks and present the current adaptation framework and some expected impacts. The RFC has increased, reaching moderate to high-risk levels.
Descripción:
Editorial:
IntechOpen
EN:
Manning, Andrew J.(ed.) Estuary Research - Recent Advances, 2023.
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Citación:
Nagy Breitenstein, G, Verocai Masena, J, Capurro Leites, L [y otros autores]. Climate risks and reasons for concern along the Uruguayan coast of the Rio de la Plata estuary [en línea] EN: Manning, Andrew J.(ed.) Estuary Research - Recent Advances. Montevideo: IntechOpen, 2023. 29 h. 10.5772-intechopen.110504
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URI:
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/50046
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9781837682850
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Licencia Creative Commons Atribución (CC - By 4.0)
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| Ficheros | Descripción | Tamaño | Formato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5772-intechopen.110504.pdf | — | 3.93 MB | Adobe PDF |
